Prophet Picks 1/21/23

Based on advanced data & analytics – here is our favorite picks of the day. After every pick, there is a Confidence ranking out of 10. The higher the number the more confident we are in the pick.

Dejounte Murray o20.5 pts (-130)

Confidence Ranking: 8/10

Been in the recent news after appearing on “All the Smoke” with Matt Barnes and Stephen Jackson – the biggest takeaway is he does in fact have that “dawg” in him. With the line set at 20.5 he has covered the line four times out of the last five games with big scoring outputs of 29, 30, 28 and 27. Earlier this year Vs the hawks he scored 19 points.

Below is Dejounte’s points over the last few games

Last Few guards vs the Hornets:

  • Jalen Green 41 points
  • Derrick White 19 points
  • Malcolm Brogdon 31 points
  • Gary Trent 19 points

Mikal Bridges o8.5 R/A (rebounds & assists) (-120)

(Play From Corey E.)

Confidence Ranking: 7/10

From: Bright Side of the Sun

Mikal has shown bright spots without Devin Booker and Chris Paul playing. He’s been asked to live up to his contract and although the Suns aren’t winning, Bridges has stepped up.

His last five games he has seen his reb/asst tick up. This is the recommended play over taking his lone stat of rebounds or assists, as it could swing either way (One game posted 9 assists & another posted 9 rebounds). Together, he should clear this line as he done 80% of the time over the last week and a half.

Below is Mikal’s R/A graph over the last 4 weeks

Other Plays to Watch

  • A. Sengun (HOU) vs MIN o18.5 points
  • Wendell Carter Jr (ORL) vs WSH o15.5 points
  • Kyle Kuzma (WSH) vs ORL o2.5 3s
  • Al Horford (BOS) vs TOR o5.5 rebounds

Data Driven by Edghouse. Go to Edghouse.com and sign up using code Kev20 to get 20% off

Prophet Picks

Based on advanced data & analytics – here is our favorite picks of the day. After every pick, there is a Confidence ranking out of 10. The higher the number the more confident we are in the pick.

James Harden o6.5 Rebs (-104)

Confidence Ranking: 8/10

I actually love everything Harden today, but this Clippers team is in need of Front-court help. Harden last three games vs LAC, he’s accumulated 38 rebounds. In his last five games, he reached 6 rebounds every game. In a matchup that is negative for Embiid, this should be enough signs pointed at another big performance for the Beard.

Also of note, Clippers ranks 8th vs rebounds/assists — the Beard is currently averaging 20.8 R/A – his line tonight is 16.5, this has a 100% hit rate over the last five games and a 100% hit rate vs the Clippers.

The last few Guards vs Clippers have surpass their lines including – Jamal Murray (12 R/A) & Luka (11 rebs).

Dame Lillard o38.5 P/A (points & assists) (-120)

Confidence Ranking: 9/10

Dame Lillard vs Nuggets via SBNation

Dame has been playing fantastic over the last 2 weeks, including a 50 pts against the Cavs. He shows good value vs a Nuggets team who struggles vs ball dominate guards. In the past we’ve seen Aaron Gordon be a primary defender but with the addition of J. Grant there should be no worry.

Denver ranks 29th and that’s all you need for one of the best guards in basketball. Over his last five games he’s averaging 44 P/A. He’s more than capable of getting this spot with points alone. Last four games vs Nuggets he averages 32.5 ppg. If he continues this hot steak (avg 38 ppg) you can feel real comfortable that he can generate 2 assists. (By the way he’s had over 5 assists in those games)

Data Driven by Edghouse. Go to Edghouse.com and sign up using code Kev20 to get 20% off

Prophet Picks

Based on advanced data & analytics – here is our favorite picks of the day. After every pick, there is a Confidence ranking out of 10. The higher the number the more confident we are in the pick.

Steph Curry o26.5 pts (-108) vs Spurs

Confidence Ranking: 8/10

The value is there and the atmosphere should be bonkers playing in front of a record crowd. This spot is impeccable and Curry on the season has a hit rate of 63% at this line. Everything points to a special night and Curry to do his best to entertain this Spurs crowd.

The L6 games vs the Spurs, Steph is avg. 28 ppg hitting the line 67%

The last few PGs vs Spurs have surpass their lines including – Ja Morant (38 pts), Malcolm Brogdon (23 pts) , Jaden Ivey (20 pts) & Jalen Brunson (38 pts)

It’ll be very unique, it’ll be cool to be a part of hopefully a record-setting night. I’ve never been to the Alamodome.
– Steph Curry

Nikola Vucevic o12.5 Rebs (-130) vs Thunder

Confidence Ranking: 7.5/10

Vucevic has been balling as of late. His line has a hit rate of 80% over the last nine games, including 18 rebounds vs the 76ers. OKC will be playing off a back to back and gives up the most Total Rebounds per game (55.5).

Earlier this year in November, he posted his 6th straight double-double vs OKC, grabbing 13 rebounds. As a Bull, he has a total of 43 Rebs in three games. With limited players on the roster capable of helping securing boards, look for Big Vuc to get this number again.

On Fanduel: Vucevic 12 rebs/Win +132

CJ Mccollum o3.5 3s (-136) vs Pistons

Confidence Ranking: 7/10

CJ comes into this matchup pretty hot without his all-star counterparts, Zion and Brandon Ingram over the last few weeks. This matchup isn’t too great with the Pistons ranking top 10 vs guards on the perimeter. However, CJ has hit this line six out of seven games, including franchise setting 11 3s vs the 76ers.

As a Blazer, CJ went over 3.5 threes 75% in four games. With the offense running through the veteran guard and with his current volume at 11 threes (over last seven games), look for him to continue his hot streak.

Last couple of 3pt specialist to play DET.

  • Simons (POR): 4/10
  • Thompson (GSW): 3/10
  • Lavine (CHI): 4/10

Data Driven by Edghouse. Go to Edghouse.com and sign up using code Kev20 to get 20% off